This year the Southern Company
annual report says increased energy revenues were “primarily due
to increases in renewable energy sales”, yet Southern Power is selling off
a third interest in its solar facilities.
Why? To pay off debt from its failed Big Bet on Plant Vogtle nukes,
and its new Big Bet on stranded assets in natural gas pipelines.
I don’t think the future lies that way, Tom Fanning, abandoning solar power
and getting in bed with Sabal Trail.

When:
10AM Wednesday, May 23, 2018

9AM breakfast

Where:
The Lodge Conference Center at Callaway Gardens,

4500 Southern Pine Drive, Pine Mountain, Georgia 31822

What:
Southern Company Annual Stockholder Meeting

Facilities in Operation or Development as of

March 20, 2018, Annual Report

Why would Southern Company sell off the assets that generated the most increase in revenue? On page 46:

In 2017, wholesale revenues increased $500 million, or 26.0%, as
compared to the prior year due to a $433 million increase in energy
revenues and a $67 million increase in capacity revenues, primarily
at Southern Power. The increase in energy revenues was primarily due
to increases in renewable energy sales arising from new solar and
wind facilities and non-PPA revenues from short-term sales. The
increase in capacity revenues was primarily due to a PPA related to
new natural gas facilities and additional customer capacity
requirements.

On page 8, SO brags about a 1 megawatt solar facility at the new Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta:

Georgia Power’s solar installation at MercedesBenz Stadium helps the
facility achieve its goal of 1.6 million kilowatt hours of energy
per year from on-site solar generation.

Why aim so low?

And what about this microgrid material on page 17:

Locally-sourced power to supplement the grid

Reynolds Landing is powered both by the traditional electric grid,
as well as a community-scale power system called a
“microgrid,” which is composed of solar panels, battery
storage and back-up generation. With the capacity to generate more
than 600,000 kilowatt hours of energy annually, the microgrid can
potentially power the entire community, if needed.

On Atlanta’s Upper West Side, Georgia Power is creating a similar
townhome community, Altus at the Quarter, where power from the grid
is supplemented by rooftop solar installations and in-home battery
storage.

Each of these real-world research and development projects provides
insight into the effectiveness of emerging energy technologies and
how high-performance homes will be built in the future.

Oh, no, backpedaling: Southern Company is back into “research”
about “the future” when solar power is here right now.

Even worse, on page 36:

• potential business strategies, including acquisitions or
  dispositions of assets or businesses, including the proposed
  disposition by a wholly-owned subsidiary of Southern Company Gas of
  Elizabethtown Gas and Elkton Gas and the potential sale of a 33%
  equity interest in substantially all of Southern Power’s solar
  assets, which cannot be assured to be completed or beneficial to The
  Southern Company or its subsidiaries;

OK, I won’t miss that NJ Pivotal LNG natural gas liquefaction facility,
but what’s this about selling off solar assets?
It’s unlikely many of them can’t be completed, so what’s this
about not “beneficial”?

On page 45, SO finally gets to its point:

Energy sales from solar and wind PPAs do not have a capacity charge
and customers either purchase the energy output of a dedicated
renewable facility through an energy charge or through a fixed price
related to the energy. As a result, the Company’s ability to recover
fixed and variable operations and maintenance expenses is dependent
upon the level of energy generated from these facilities, which can
be impacted by weather conditions, equipment performance,
transmission constraints, and other factors.

SO can’t charge for fuel for solar power, and hasn’t invested in
batteries or long-distance load balancing, so it doesn’t like
the revenue model for solar power.
This is the usual utility complaint.

Last year you may recall SO CEO Tom Fanning told me he was decreasing
investment in solar power.
Beyond that, they are doing this:

In addition, Southern Power is pursuing the sale of a 33% equity
interest in a newly-formed holding company that owns substantially
all of Southern Power’s solar assets, which, if successful, is
expected to close in the middle of 2018.

Are there any other reasons? Well, yes. Jim Polson and Brian Eckhouse,
Bloomberg, 1 November 2017,

Southern to Sell Solar Assets, Nuclear Settlement to Raise Cash,

Southern Co. is shopping a $3.7 billion nuclear settlement and part
of its solar-generation business to raise cash after recent
acquisitions nearly doubled its debt.

Potential asset sales announced Wednesday follow a earlier decision
to offer two natural-gas utilities for $1.4 billion. The
Atlanta-based utility owner has held talks with potential buyers
over the settlement from Toshiba Corp. for failing to complete the
expansion of the Vogtle nuclear plant in Georgia, Chief Executive
Officer Tom Fanning said by phone Wednesday.

Southern needs to raise cash as it anticipates about $1.4 billion in
added costs to complete Vogtle, a project that has seen costs soar
to more than $25 billion. The company is also bailing out its
Mississippi Power unit after regulators said they wouldn’t allow it
to recover costs for a failed coal-gasification power project from
ratepayers, and has debt remaining from expanding into the gas
pipeline business.

Penny-wise, pound-foolish.

Southern Power owns 27 U.S. solar projects, 19 of which are already
co-owned with third parties. The projects span much of the southern
part of the country, from California to North Carolina.

“There’s a tremendous amount of demand,” for the
portfolio, Nathan Serota, a New York-based analyst at Bloomberg New
Energy Finance, said in an interview.

Institutional investors and pension funds are hungry for
renewable-energy projects, emerging this year as leading buyers.
Solar farms typically benefit from utility contracts that ensure
consistent revenue streams, which dovetail with the long-dated
liabilities that insurers and pension fund managers accrue.

For Southern, a sale would come after a major buying spree of solar
and wind farms across the U.S., including a 120-megawatt Texas solar
project from First Solar Inc. last year. In parts of 2015 and 2016,
it was among the most prolific buyers of such assets.

Indeed. But those purchases didn’t run up enough debt to demand
this kind of triage.
What did?

Net debt at Southern has almost doubled since 2015 after a raft of
deals including the $8 billion takeover of gas distributor AGL
Resources Inc. and the purchase of a 50 percent stake in Kinder
Morgan Inc.’s Southern Natural Gas pipeline system for $1.5 billion.

“This is relatively uncommon in the U.S., but it’s a common
strategy in Europe to monetize their assets to raise money to
redeploy into future projects and to continue to build their
pipeline,” Serota said.

So Southern Company is mortgaging its real future in sun and wind power
to double-down on its failed nuclear Big Bet at Plant Vogtle,
and its new Big Bet in natural gas pipeline stranded assets.

Well, that explains this map on page 2:

System Footprint, Southern Company Annual Report 2018.

Those yellow dots in California, Nevada, and New Mexico are presumably the solar facilities SO is selling off.

In favor of all those pipelines and pipeline projects in the east.
What’s that up in Pennsylvania?
PennEast Pipeline, Breaking News, apparently from 2014,

Spectra Energy Partners Becomes Newest Member in PennEast Pipeline Project,

Spectra Energy Partners becomes the sixth member of the PennEast Pipeline Company, LLC. It joins AGL Resources….

AGL Resources is what Southern Company bought and renamed Southern Company Gas.
PennEast is a feeder pipeline for Transco and Sabal Trail.
The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) rubberstamped PennEast this January
just like it (again) rubberstamped Sabal Trail this March, both because hey, they’ve got customers, nevermind property rights, water, or greenhouse gases.

This is the real answer to my question last year to Tom Fanning,

Will you lead to sun and wind power?

Unfortunately the answer is: no, he is leading SO into the past.

-jsq

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