{"id":19633,"date":"2018-02-02T12:31:21","date_gmt":"2018-02-02T17:31:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.l-a-k-e.org\/blog\/?p=19633"},"modified":"2018-02-02T12:31:21","modified_gmt":"2018-02-02T17:31:21","slug":"fpl-parent-nextera-energy-admits-solar-and-wind-far-better-investments-than-pipelines-2018-01-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.l-a-k-e.org\/blog\/2018\/02\/fpl-parent-nextera-energy-admits-solar-and-wind-far-better-investments-than-pipelines-2018-01-26.html","title":{"rendered":"FPL parent NextEra Energy admits solar and wind far better investments than pipelines 2018-01-26"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nEven Sabal Trail partner NextEra Energy&#8217;s earnings call has<br \/>\nfar more about record solar and wind deployment and earnings<br \/>\n(&#8220;added $0.67 per share&#8221;)<br \/>\nthan about pipeline declining earnings (&#8220;added $0.10 per share&#8221;)<br \/>\nand misinformation,<br \/>\n<a href=\"#STT\"><br \/>\nclaiming Sabal Trail is operational<br \/>\nand on schedule<\/a> when<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.wwals.net\/blog\/2018\/02\/01\/court-rebukes-sabal-trail-in-pivotal-case-may-shut-it-down-next-week-2018-02-01\/\"><br \/>\nit isn&#8217;t<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\nWhich is better, NextEra, $0.67 or $0.10 per share?<br \/>\nOh, wait, effectively you answered that:<br \/>\n<a href=\"#leader\">&#8220;As the world&#8217;s current leader in wind, solar, and storage<br \/>\ndevelopment&#8230;.&#8221;<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;font-size:80%;font-style:italic\">\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nexteraenergyresources.com\/what\/solar.shtml\"><br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Solar, NextEra Energy\" style=\"border:none\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nexteraenergyresources.com\/images_redesign\/solar_01.jpg\"><\/a><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nexteraenergyresources.com\/what\/solar.shtml\"><br \/>\nSolar<\/a>, NextEra Energy\n<\/p>\n<p>\nOne sentence is NextEra&#8217;s only mention of Sabal Trail; nothing about<br \/>\nthe Sierra Club lawsuit against FERC<br \/>\nthat less than a week later saw<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.wwals.net\/blog\/2018\/02\/01\/court-rebukes-sabal-trail-in-pivotal-case-may-shut-it-down-next-week-2018-02-01\/\"><br \/>\nthe DC Circuit Court reject all requests for rehearing<\/a>,<br \/>\nmeaning as early as next week the court may mandate shutting down Sabal Trail.<br \/>\nNextEra company FPL is the sole remaining customer listed in Sabal Trail&#8217;s<br \/>\ncustoner index.<br \/>\nMaybe it&#8217;s time to bail out and get on with solar power in the Sunshine State.<\/p>\n<p>NextEra Energy, via Motley Fool,<br \/>\n26 January 2018,<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/earnings\/call-transcripts\/2018\/01\/26\/nextera-energy-inc_-nee-q4-2017-earnings-conferenc.aspx\"><br \/>\nNEE earnings call for the period ending December 31, 2017<\/a>,<\/p>\n<p>\nCEO and Chairman James L. Robo:<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"font-size:100%\">\n<p>\nFourth, we&#8217;re advancing our renewable product offerings as we<br \/>\nprepare for the next phase of renewable development. As a result,<br \/>\nour prospects for new renewables growth has never been stronger. As<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>expected, congress did not make any retroactive changes to the PTC<br \/>\nor ITC, which were each extended under a five-year phasedown at the<br \/>\nend of 2015. With incentives, wind is the cheapest form of energy at<br \/>\n1.2-1.8 cents per kilowatt hour at high wind sites while solar<br \/>\ncontinues to be priced at a discount to other forms of generation at<br \/>\n2.5-3.5 cents per kilowatt hour. Taken together, we continue to be<br \/>\nin the best renewables environment in our history as evidenced by<br \/>\nour 2017 results.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nThe ongoing cost declines in renewables are leading to increased<br \/>\neconomic demand from customers. Wind turbine technology continues to<br \/>\nimprove through a combination of taller towers and wider rotor<br \/>\ndiameters. Today, we&#8217;re installing 127-meter rotor diameter<br \/>\nturbines. By 2021, we expect manufacturers to be selling<br \/>\napproximately 150-meter rotor diameter turbines in the US market,<br \/>\nfurther increasing net capacity factors and helping reduce installed<br \/>\nwind costs on a $1.00 per kilowatt basis.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nOver the past year, we&#8217;ve seen an approximate 30% reduction in<br \/>\nturbine costs. Through the end of the decade, we expect another 10%<br \/>\ndecline per year on average. As a result, we continue to expect<br \/>\nthat, without incentives early in the next decade, wind is going to<br \/>\nbe a 2.0-2.5 cent per kilowatt hour product.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nFor solar, we continue to see rapid price declines and efficiency<br \/>\nimprovements and we&#8217;re well positioned to mitigate any impacts of<br \/>\nthe recently announced tariffs from the ITC 201 proceeding. As we<br \/>\npreviously discussed, before any tariffs were put in place, we<br \/>\npurchased modules for our 2017 and 2018 build. We recently completed<br \/>\nan additional order that covers our module needs for 2019 and a<br \/>\nsignificant portion of our 2020 build.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nUltimately, we expect that by 2020, as the tariff steps down, the<br \/>\nmarket will have adjusted to these new dynamics. By early in the<br \/>\nnext decade, as further cost declines are realized and module<br \/>\nefficiencies continue to improve, we expect that without incentives,<br \/>\nsolar will be a 3.0-4.0 cent per kilowatt hour product, below the<br \/>\nvariable cost required to operate an existing coal or nuclear<br \/>\ngenerating facility of 3.5-5.0 cents per kilowatt hour.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n<a href=\"#leader\" name=\"leader\"><br \/>\nAs the world&#8217;s current leader in wind, solar, and storage<br \/>\ndevelopment<\/a>, we are uniquely positioned for the next phase<br \/>\nrenewables deployment that pairs low cost wind and solar energy with<br \/>\na low cost battery storage solution to provide a product that can be<br \/>\ndispatched with enough certainty to meet customer needs for a firm<br \/>\ngeneration resource. We believe no other company has our expertise<br \/>\nin all three products &mdash; wind, solar, and battery storage<br \/>\n&mdash; to leverage the combined technologies at the low cost we can<br \/>\nachieve. In fact, we recently submitted a bid at a very competitive<br \/>\nprice for a combined wind, solar, and battery storage product, that<br \/>\nis able to provide an around the clock, nearly firm, shaped product<br \/>\nspecifically designed to meet the customers&#8217; needs.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nBy leveraging Energy Resources&#8217; competitive advantages, including<br \/>\nour development skills, purchasing power, best in class construction<br \/>\nexpertise, resource assessment capabilities, strong access to and<br \/>\ncost of capital advantages, and the ability to combine wind, solar,<br \/>\nand battery storage solutions together, we remain well positioned to<br \/>\ncapture a meaningful and growing share of the renewables market<br \/>\ngoing forward.\n<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\nBut what about natural gas?<br \/>\nOh, they&#8217;re selling that off:<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"font-size:100%\">\n<p>\nFinally, in addition to increasing and extending our financial<br \/>\nexpectations, and having what I believe to be the best opportunity<br \/>\nset in our industry, we continue to maintain one of the strongest<br \/>\nbalance sheets in our sector. Through the sale of noncore assets<br \/>\nover the last two years, including fibernet and our Forney, Lamar,<br \/>\nand Marcus Hook gas generation assets, we&#8217;ve recycled almost $4<br \/>\nbillion of capital while advancing our strategy to become more<br \/>\nlong-term contracted and rate regulated.\n<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\nAnd more, from CFO and Exec. VP Finance John Ketchum:<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"font-size:100%\">\n<p>\nAll of our major capital initiatives, including one of the largest<br \/>\nsolar expansions ever in the eastern US, remain on track.<br \/>\nIn 2017, FPL continued executing on its outstanding customer value<br \/>\nproposition, delivering its best ever service relatability<br \/>\nperformance while maintaining a typical customer bill that is more<br \/>\nthan 25% below the national average and the lowest among the top ten<br \/>\ninvestor owned utilities by market cap.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nAs Jim mentioned earlier, 2017 was the best period for new wind and<br \/>\nsolar origination in our history. The Energy Resources team added<br \/>\nmore than 2,700 megawatts of new renewables projects to our backlog,<br \/>\nincluding the largest combined solar and storage facility in the<br \/>\nUnited States announced to date, and roughly 700 megawatts of<br \/>\nadditional wind repowering to our backlog.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nOver the course of the year, we commissioned roughly 2,150 megawatts<br \/>\nof wind and solar projects in the US, including the first<br \/>\napproximately 1,600 megawatts of our repowering program. All in all,<br \/>\n2017 was a terrific year of execution at FPL and Energy Resources&#8230;.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nEach of our ongoing capital deployment initiatives continues to<br \/>\nprogress well. We were pleased to completed construction of the<br \/>\nfirst four 74.5 megawatt solar energy centers governed by the solar<br \/>\nbased rate adjustment, or SoBRA, mechanism of the rate case<br \/>\nsettlement agreement, on schedule and under budget. An additional<br \/>\nfour solar site totaling nearly 300 megawatts are currently on track<br \/>\nto being providing cost effective energy to FPL customers later this<br \/>\nquarter.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nWe also continue to advance the development of the additional 1,600<br \/>\nmegawatts of solar projects that are planned for beyond 2018 and<br \/>\nhave secured potential sites that could support more than five<br \/>\ngigawatts for FPL&#8217;s ongoing solar expansion.\n<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\nBut what about natural gas?<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"font-size:100%\">\n<p>\nThis month, we completed the early retirement of the St. John&#8217;s<br \/>\nRiver Power Park, an approximately 1,300 megawatt coal fire plant co<br \/>\nowned with JEA. Construction on the approximately 1,750-megawatt<br \/>\nOkeechobee Clean Energy Center remains on schedule and on budget.<br \/>\nAdditionally, progress on the Dania Beach Clean Energy Center<br \/>\ncontinues to advance through the regulatory approval process.\n<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\nNone of that requires Sabal Trail, which isn&#8217;t shipping any gas anyway.<\/p>\n<p>\n<a name=\"added\" href=\"#added\"><br \/>\nAnd back to solar and wind power<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"font-size:100%\">\n<p>\nIn total, new renewables investments added $0.67 per share.<br \/>\nContributions from new natural gas pipeline investments added $0.10<br \/>\nper share.\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\nBut what about natural gas?<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"font-size:100%\">\n<p> Partially offsetting new investment growth was a decline<br \/>\nof $0.11 per share, and contributions from our existing generation<br \/>\nassets, the majority of which is attributable to sales of Lamar,<br \/>\nForney, and Marcus Hook natural gas fire generating assets in 2016.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nContributions from our gas infrastructure business declined by $0.19<br \/>\nper share, $0.16 of which is attributable to the absence of the earn<br \/>\nout adjustment that was recognized for the Texas pipelines in 2016.<br \/>\nAll of the other effects had a negative impact of $0.19 per share,<br \/>\nmostly driven by a year-over-year increase in interest expense.<br \/>\nAdditional details are shown on the accompanying slide.\n<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\nNevermind failing pipelines, up with the sun!<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"font-size:100%\">\n<p>\nIn 2017, Energy Resources advanced its position as the leading<br \/>\ndeveloper and operator of wind, solar, and battery storage projects.<br \/>\nSince the last call, we have signed contracts for 736 megawatts of<br \/>\nnew renewables projects, including 512 megawatts of wind and 224<br \/>\nmegawatts of solar. With today&#8217;s announced contracts, our 2017 and<br \/>\n2018 wind backlog is now nearly 2,000 megawatts. With visibility to<br \/>\nseveral hundred megawatts of additional projects for 2018, we<br \/>\ncontinue to believe that we can achieve the range of expectations<br \/>\nthat we have previously provided for 2017 and 2018.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nFor 2019 and 2020, we are already just below the range of<br \/>\nexpectations that we have provided for solar. And, for US wind, our<br \/>\ncurrent backlog is already almost half of the low end of our<br \/>\nexpected range. Additionally, our total current backlog of almost<br \/>\n7,000 megawatts, including repowering for 2017-2020, is the largest<br \/>\nfor a four-year period in Energy Resource&#8217;s history. The<br \/>\naccompanying slide provides additional detail on where our<br \/>\nrenewables development program now stands.\n<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\n<a href=\"#STT\" name=\"STT\">And look what finally gets mentioned, and mis-spelled<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"font-size:100%\">\n<p>\nBeyond renewables, 2017 was an excellent year for Energy Resources&#8217;<br \/>\nnatural gas pipeline activities. During the year, both the Sable<br \/>\nTrail transmission and Florida Southeast connection natural gas<br \/>\npipeline projects successfully achieved commercial operation on<br \/>\nbudget and on schedule. The Mountain Valley pipeline also made<br \/>\nexcellent progress over the year, receiving its first limited notice<br \/>\nto proceed from FERC earlier this week. We remain on track to<br \/>\nachieve a year-end 2018 commercial operations date.\n<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\nWait, there&#8217;s more about wind:<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"font-size:100%\">\n<p>\nWind resource returned to normal after a week third quarter, as<br \/>\noverall wind resource was 102% of the long-term average during the<br \/>\nfourth quarter. The appendix of today&#8217;s presentation includes a<br \/>\nslide with additional details regarding 2017 wind resource for the<br \/>\nNEP portfolio. For full-year 2017, adjusted EBITDA and CAFD were<br \/>\n$743 million and $246 million, up 16% and 11% respectively, driven<br \/>\nprimarily by growth of the underlying portfolio. Additional details<br \/>\nare shown on the accompanying slide.\n<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\nSo one sentence about Sabal Trail, a few paragraphs about pipelines,<br \/>\nand many about how great solar and wind are and how NextEra is a &#8220;world leader&#8221;<br \/>\nand positioned to win in renewable energy.<br \/>\nCut your losses and eject some more stranded investments, NextEra:<br \/>\nditch Sabal Trail.<\/p>\n<p>\n -jsq\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;font-style:italic\">Investigative reporting costs money, for open records requests, copying, web hosting, gasoline, and cameras, and with sufficient funds we can pay students to do further research.  You can <a href=\"http:\/\/www.l-a-k-e.org\/blog\/donate\">donate to LAKE today<\/a>!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Even Sabal Trail partner NextEra Energy&#8217;s earnings call has far more about record solar and wind deployment and earnings (&#8220;added $0.67 per share&#8221;) than about pipeline declining earnings (&#8220;added $0.10 per share&#8221;) and misinformation, claiming Sabal Trail is operational and on schedule when it isn&#8217;t. Which is better, NextEra, $0.67 or $0.10 per share? Oh, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6124,6687,24,36],"tags":[10120,6995,1763,8701,10121,10122,8702,12,7,10119,562,7134,6076,6597,8714,6,8716],"class_list":["post-19633","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-natural-gas-2","category-pipeline-2","category-solar","category-wind","tag-earings","tag-florida-southeast-connection","tag-fpl","tag-georgia","tag-james-l-robo","tag-john-ketchum","tag-lake","tag-lowndes-area-knowledge-exchange","tag-lowndes-county","tag-motley-fool","tag-natural-gas","tag-nextera-energy","tag-pipeline","tag-sabal-trail-transmission","tag-solar","tag-valdosta","tag-wind"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.l-a-k-e.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19633","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.l-a-k-e.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.l-a-k-e.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.l-a-k-e.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.l-a-k-e.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19633"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"http:\/\/www.l-a-k-e.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19633\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19638,"href":"http:\/\/www.l-a-k-e.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19633\/revisions\/19638"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.l-a-k-e.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19633"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.l-a-k-e.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19633"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.l-a-k-e.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19633"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}